Belief Lab
Track how books change your mind — one Bayesian update at a time.
4
Tracked beliefs
2
Revised
1
Open questions
RevisedAtomic Habits2 days ago
Habits matter more than goals for long-term change.
The evidence (compounding systems, identity-based change) is far more likely if the hypothesis is true.
Prior 45%Updated 72%
Weak beliefMere Christianity4 days ago
The moral law strongly implies a moral law-giver.
Suggestive but the evidence is also somewhat likely under naturalism.
Prior 50%Updated 58%
RevisedHow to Read a Booktoday
Speed reading improves comprehension of difficult books.
Evidence shows difficult texts demand slower, analytical reading — much less likely if speed helped.
Prior 60%Updated 25%
SuspendedThe Brothers Karamazov1 week ago
Free will and divine foreknowledge are compatible.
Evidence is roughly as likely either way; judgment suspended.
Prior 50%Updated 50%